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 TERMINÉ 
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) sponsored the Global Framework on Climate Services (GFCS) where the need for actionable climate information for periods from several months up to several years for economic, industrial and political planning has been expressed. However, progress in seasonal forecasting has been slow and decadal forecasting is still incipient. At the same time, new model ...
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 21

 TERMINÉ 
Recent advances in our understanding and forecasting of climate and climate change have brought us to the point where skilful and useful predictions are being made. These forecasts hold the potential for being of great value for a wide range of decision-makers who are affected by the vagaries of the climate and who would benefit from understanding and better managing climate-related risks. Howeve ...
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 26

 TERMINÉ 
A major difficulty faced by users of climate data is how to judge whether the data are fit for purpose. This is a serious barrier to widening the use of climate data by non-expert users. Different users require different information, such as reports on validation campaigns, the robustness of the algorithms used, and the data policy. We term this information 'Commentary' metadata. Much work has bee ...
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 9

 TERMINÉ 

Supermodeling by combining imperfect models (SUMO)

Date du début: 1 oct. 2010, Date de fin: 31 mars 2014,

Scientists develop computer models of real, complex systems to increase understanding of their behaviour and make predictions. A prime example is the Earth's climate. Complex climate models are used to compute the climate change in response to expected changes in the composition of the atmosphere due to man-made emissions. Years of research have improved the ability to simulate the climate of the ...
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 7